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Communication · a life skill

Advanced Audience Awareness

ask them, don't imagine them

The usual advice is to put yourself in their shoes. Across 25 experiments, that didn't make people any more accurate about what others thought or felt. What did was asking. The advanced habit is to treat what you think they think as a guess, write it down, and check it, starting with the guesses you're surest of.

  • Challenging
  • Life-Changing impact
  • Learn it: 30 days
  • 25 experiments
one week's guesses, checked
A ledger of five guesses about a colleague, how sure each was, and what asking showed Five guesses. When they want the report: sure, missed. How they like feedback: fairly sure, matched. What worries them most: sure, missed. Whether they want help: unsure, matched. What done means to them: sure, partly. Of the three marked sure, two were missed. Thing to know How sure Asked When they want the report How they like feedback What worries them most Whether they want help What “done” means to them Marked sure: 3. Sure, then missed: 2. Every guess is a question. Ask the ones you're surest of first.

An illustration, not data. Pips show how sure the guess felt; the last column, what asking showed.

The habit

Try it now.

  1. Write down what you think they think

    Before a conversation that matters, three to six guesses: what they want, what worries them, what “done” means to them.

  2. Mark how sure you are

    Sure, fairly sure, or unsure. Be honest; this column is the one you'll learn from.

  3. Turn each guess into an open question

    Ask “What would make this week go well for you?” before “You want it by Friday, right?”. Open first, then check the guess.

  4. Ask the sure ones first

    They're the ones that feel least worth asking, so they're the ones most likely to go unchecked.

  5. Score it, then debrief

    Matched, partly, or missed. Once a week, count the sure ones you missed and look at what they have in common.

    Guess, rate, ask, score, debrief.

Example: you're sure your partner wants a quiet weekend, so you turn down the dinner invitation. Asking “What would make Saturday good for you?” takes ten seconds, and the answer is “seeing people”.

Guess, then ask

Keep a guess ledger.

Write each guess before the conversation, with how sure you are and the question you'll ask. Fill in the answer and the score afterwards. The panel counts what you asked, what you got right, and the number worth watching over a month: guesses you were sure of that turned out wrong.

Start from an example

    Guesses
    0
    Asked
    0
    Matched
    0
    Sure, missed
    0
    How sure you were, against what asking showed
    MatchedPartlyMissedNot asked

      Nothing you type is saved or sent anywhere. Copy the ledger if you want to keep it for the weekly debrief.

      The research behind it

      Imagining didn't help. Asking did, when people did it.

      Tal Eyal, Mary Steffel and Nicholas Epley ran 25 experiments in which people read emotions from faces and postures, told real smiles from fake ones, spotted lies, and predicted a partner's preferences and opinions. Being told to imagine the other person's point of view didn't make people more accurate. Sometimes it made them less accurate, and sometimes more confident. What helped was getting the other person's view: couples who talked first predicted each other better.

      Daniel Damen, Monique Pollmann and Lena Grassow then let people decide for themselves whether to ask. In their third study, 160 pairs of friends each predicted how the other would respond to 21 statements, and could ask first. 70% asked at least once, 12.5% asked thoroughly, and on average they asked about 8.75 of the 21. Asking more went with being more accurate. The more confident people felt, the less they asked, even though confidence had nothing to do with how accurate they were. And telling people that asking works didn't make them ask significantly more.

      So knowing that asking helps isn't enough. That's what the ledger is for: it makes asking a step you take, not a choice you make in the moment.

      Friends who could ask before predicting 21 statements asked about 8.75 of them on average. 70% asked at least once and 12.5% asked thoroughly. When asking was optional Statements asked about, of 21 about 8.75 on average Asked at least once 70% Asked thoroughly 12.5% 160 pairs of friends, study 3.
      Damen, Pollmann & Grassow, “The Benefits and Obstacles to Perspective Getting”, Frontiers in Communication, 2021. Eyal, Steffel & Epley, “Perspective mistaking”, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 2018.

      The idea

      Why it works.

      Imagining someone's point of view runs on your picture of them, and your picture is exactly what's in question. It can make you feel closer to the answer without bringing in anything new. Asking brings in the one thing you can't make up: what they actually said.

      Confidence gets in the way because it feels like knowledge. The guesses you're sure of are the ones you skip, so they're the ones that stay wrong longest. Writing them down and scoring them turns a feeling into a count, and a month of counts shows you which kinds of thing you reliably misread.

      When it goes wrong

      Habits that help.

      • Don't lead the witness. “You'd rather keep it quiet, right?” gets a yes. Ask the open version first.
      • Write the answer, not your reading of it. Their words, as close as you can. Your gloss is another guess.
      • Don't argue with the answer. If it surprises you, ask one more question. You're there to find out, not to be right.
      • Keep asking people you know well. Closeness makes guesses feel safer, not more accurate.

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